Scenario Analysis

[1]:

import tenbagger

[2]:

import os
os.chdir('..')

You can simulate your portfolio growth under different settings. In the following example we simulate for a 10 year period (120 months) the growth of the portfolio when you invest 1000 dollars each month (proportionally) into your portfolio. Under the assumptions that all paid dividends are reinvested back and a stock and dividend growth of 2%.

[3]:

from tenbagger.src.passiveIncome.calculator import PassiveIncomeCalculator

scenario = PassiveIncomeCalculator('hypothetical_portfolio')
scenario.calulate(n=120, growth_stock=0.02, growth_dividend=0.02, monthly_payment=1000, generate_report=False, only_dividend_stocks=False)
df = scenario.df_report
df

100%|██████████| 6/6 [00:21<00:00,  3.64s/it]
100%|██████████| 6/6 [00:38<00:00,  6.35s/it]

Yearly divdend: 76.25173267834576
Yearly divdend: 100.87503598419735
Yearly divdend: 127.15754841427298
Yearly divdend: 155.21196159871096
Yearly divdend: 185.15864380517638
Yearly divdend: 217.12616345525694
Yearly divdend: 251.2518483572622
Yearly divdend: 287.6823830925142
Yearly divdend: 326.57444715852057
Yearly divdend: 368.09539665007094
Yearly divdend: 404.58914453837144
Yearly staking rewards: 4498.420623980462

[3]:
month paid_dividends staking_rewards total_passive_income portfolio_value growth_stock dividend_growth
0 0 0.000000 52.192880 52.192880 43051.299933 0.02 0.02
0 1 16.979967 53.740331 70.720299 44122.020270 0.02 0.02
0 2 0.000000 55.296837 55.296837 45177.317146 0.02 0.02
0 3 0.000000 56.862450 56.862450 46234.179636 0.02 0.02
0 4 18.358099 58.437224 76.795323 47310.974998 0.02 0.02
... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...
0 116 0.000000 350.851218 350.851218 203316.231198 0.02 0.02
0 117 0.000000 354.150430 354.150430 204670.381667 0.02 0.02
0 118 95.372871 357.469038 452.841908 206123.223615 0.02 0.02
0 119 0.000000 360.807156 360.807156 207484.030810 0.02 0.02
0 120 0.000000 371.448199 371.448199 213005.159664 0.02 0.02

121 rows × 7 columns

[4]:

import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import seaborn as sns

[5]:

fig, axes = plt.subplots(3, figsize=(7, 7))
titles = ['Staking Rewards', "Dividends", 'Total Passive Income']
cols = ['staking_rewards', 'paid_dividends', 'total_passive_income']

for i, ax in enumerate(axes):
    ax.plot(df.month, df[cols[i]])
    ax.set_title(titles[i])

plt.tight_layout()
../_images/tutorials_scenario_6_0.png 
[6]:

fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(6,6))
plt.plot(df.month, df.portfolio_value)
plt.title("Portfolio value")

[6]:

Text(0.5, 1.0, 'Portfolio value')
../_images/tutorials_scenario_7_1.png

We see that with these assumptions your portfolio would have increased from 40,000 to almost 215,000 dollars After 10 years of reinvesting. Also, you would receive almost a 400 dollar passive income.

We can also define a custom portfolio in a dictionary and do a scenario analysis!

[7]:

# Some other hypothetical portfolio
scenario_2 = PassiveIncomeCalculator({"enb": 100, 'mrk': 100, 'aapl': 100, 'eth-usd': 1})

100%|██████████| 4/4 [00:21<00:00,  5.30s/it]
100%|██████████| 4/4 [00:25<00:00,  6.43s/it]

[8]:

scenario_2.dist.df

[8]:
date ticker price amount currency circulatingSupply type yield sector value staking_rewards apy percentage dividends passive_income
0 2021-08-29 aapl 148.600006 100 USD None EQUITY 0.0060 Technology 14860.000610 NaN NaN 50.16% 89.160004 89.160004
0 2021-08-29 mrk 76.290001 100 USD None EQUITY 0.0345 Healthcare 7629.000092 NaN NaN 25.75% 263.200503 263.200503
0 2021-08-29 enb 39.430000 100 USD None EQUITY 0.0675 Energy 3943.000031 NaN NaN 13.31% 266.152502 266.152502
0 2021-08-29 eth-usd 3191.818115 1 USD 117304016 CRYPTOCURRENCY NaN Crypto 3191.818115 234.598631 0.0735 10.77% 0.000000 234.598631 
[9]:

scenario_2.calulate(n=120, growth_stock=0.02, growth_dividend=0.02, monthly_payment=1000, generate_report=False, only_dividend_stocks=True)
scenario_2.df_report

Yearly divdend: 723.2059004025317
Yearly divdend: 1046.315323702941
Yearly divdend: 1392.979735121148
Yearly divdend: 1765.183380143808
Yearly divdend: 2165.09135104586
Yearly divdend: 2595.066737991029
Yearly divdend: 3057.689438814483
Yearly divdend: 3555.7767894383214
Yearly divdend: 4092.4061927571256
Yearly divdend: 4670.939941279243
Yearly divdend: 5268.029288620868
Yearly staking rewards: 0.0

[9]:
month paid_dividends staking_rewards total_passive_income portfolio_value growth_stock dividend_growth
0 0 0.000000 0 0.000000 27432.000732 0.02 0.02
0 1 96.570354 0 96.570354 28528.571086 0.02 0.02
0 2 56.452020 0 56.452020 29585.023106 0.02 0.02
0 3 0.000000 0 0.000000 30585.023106 0.02 0.02
0 4 108.590848 0 108.590848 31693.613955 0.02 0.02
... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...
0 116 371.256034 0 371.256034 185436.837087 0.02 0.02
0 117 0.000000 0 0.000000 186436.837087 0.02 0.02
0 118 835.826691 0 835.826691 188272.663778 0.02 0.02
0 119 379.766488 0 379.766488 189652.430267 0.02 0.02
0 120 0.000000 0 0.000000 194445.478872 0.02 0.02

121 rows × 7 columns